Washington Mystics
2026-27League rank #828-16 so far with a +1.1 net rating. The profile below tracks how Washington Mystics wins games, where the shot diet bends, and which parts of the roster are carrying the heaviest load.
Record
28-16
Win Rate
.636
Net
+1.1
Pace
80.3
Last 10
8-2
Playoff Odds
100%
Projected Wins
Season-complete snapshot from the projected wins model.
Proj Wins
28.0
P10-P90
28.0–28.0
Playoff Odds
100%
Mean Seed
5.0
Net Rating Trend
Month-to-month swings show whether the team is stabilizing, slipping, or peaking late.
Pythagorean Record
ORtg¹⁴ ÷ (ORtg¹⁴ + DRtg¹⁴)Actual
28-16
Expected
24-20
Scoring Style
Shot location and free-throw pressure compared with a league-average offense.
Team DNA
A quick shape of where this team leans relative to the rest of the league.
Four Factors
The possession battle: shooting, turnovers, rebounding, and free throws.
Offense
Defense
Roster Construction
How production is distributed across the rotation in minutes, scoring, rebounds, and assists.
Minutes Distribution
Production Breakdown
Clutch Performance
Close-game results only, meant to show how this team finishes when the margin stays tight.
| Situation | GP | W-L | W% | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Close (≤5 pts) | 17 | 12-5 | .706 | +3.5 |
| Mid (6-12 pts) | 16 | 10-6 | .625 | +8.8 |
| Blowout (13+ pts) | 11 | 6-5 | .545 | +20.4 |
| Overall | 44 | 28-16 | .636 | +9.6 |
Identity Signals
shot mix, rotation usage, matchup patterns, and game-level contextShot Identity
Paint-first offense
Weighted zone accuracy edge: -2.2 percentage points versus league averages.
3PT share
29.9%
Paint share
61.2%
Mid-range
8.9%
Context Splits
Meaningful home edge
Net rating trend from first to latest month: +23.7.
Home NET
+2.6
Away NET
-0.4
Close-game edge
+7.0%
Matchup Map
Recurring opponents only
Best recurring matchup: Chicago Sky (3-0). Toughest: New York Liberty (1-2).
Best
CHI +18.7
Worst
NYL -8.0
Opponents
14
Rotation Shape
Distributed rotation
Concentration numbers are computed directly from season-to-date player rates on the current roster view.
Top 3 minutes
36.2%
Top 2 scoring
34.3%
Top 2 assists
29.2%
Projected Wins Distribution
Model range for the final record when projection data exists for this season.
Median Wins
28
10th-90th
28–28
Playoff %
100%
Mean Seed
5.0
Season complete. Projection collapses to the final record and playoff result.
Reference
Team Page Stat Guide
These are the terms that show up most often on the team overview, split tables, projection cards, and shot chart.
ORtg / DRtg / NET
Estimated points scored, allowed, and the difference per 100 possessions.
TS%
True shooting percentage. Includes the efficiency value of free throws and threes.
eFG%
Effective field goal percentage. Rewards three-point makes more than two-point makes.
TOV%
Turnover percentage. Lower is better on offense; higher is better when forced on defense.
Pythagorean Record
Expected record from scoring margin rather than actual close-game results.
Playoff Odds
Model-estimated chance of finishing in the top eight and reaching the playoffs.
Showing the six most common terms. Open the full guide when you need the deeper model vocabulary.