Phoenix Mercury
2026-27League rank #102-7 so far with a -1.6 net rating. The profile below tracks how Phoenix Mercury wins games, where the shot diet bends, and which parts of the roster are carrying the heaviest load.
Record
2-7
Win Rate
.222
Net
-1.6
Pace
79.3
Last 9
2-7
Playoff Odds
8%
Projected Wins
Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.
Proj Wins
17.7
P10-P90
14.1–21.1
Playoff Odds
8%
Mean Seed
10.9
Net Rating Trend
Month-to-month swings show whether the team is stabilizing, slipping, or peaking late.
Pythagorean Record
ORtg¹⁴ ÷ (ORtg¹⁴ + DRtg¹⁴)Actual
2-7
Expected
4-5
Scoring Style
Shot location and free-throw pressure compared with a league-average offense.
Team DNA
A quick shape of where this team leans relative to the rest of the league.
Four Factors
The possession battle: shooting, turnovers, rebounding, and free throws.
Offense
Defense
Roster Construction
How production is distributed across the rotation in minutes, scoring, rebounds, and assists.
Minutes Distribution
Production Breakdown
Clutch Performance
Close-game results only, meant to show how this team finishes when the margin stays tight.
| Situation | GP | W-L | W% | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Close (≤5 pts) | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | +3.0 |
| Mid (6-12 pts) | 5 | 1-4 | .200 | +8.4 |
| Blowout (13+ pts) | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | +24.5 |
| Overall | 9 | 2-7 | .222 | +10.8 |
Identity Signals
shot mix, rotation usage, matchup patterns, and game-level contextShot Identity
Paint-first offense
Weighted zone accuracy edge: -1.0 percentage points versus league averages.
3PT share
36.9%
Paint share
50.8%
Mid-range
12.2%
Context Splits
Road edge
Need at least two monthly points to measure directional change.
Home NET
-3.7
Away NET
+0.1
Close-game edge
-22.2%
Matchup Map
Recurring opponents only
Best recurring matchup: New York Liberty (0-2). Toughest: New York Liberty (0-2).
Best
NYL -8.5
Worst
NYL -8.5
Opponents
8
Rotation Shape
Distributed rotation
Concentration numbers are computed directly from season-to-date player rates on the current roster view.
Top 3 minutes
36.6%
Top 2 scoring
36.1%
Top 2 assists
44.7%
Projected Wins Distribution
Model range for the final record when projection data exists for this season.
Median Wins
18.12
10th-90th
14.120000000000001–21.12
Playoff %
8%
Mean Seed
10.9
Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.
Team Page Stat Guide
These are the terms that show up most often on the team overview, split tables, projection cards, and shot chart.
ORtg / DRtg / NET
Estimated points scored, allowed, and the difference per 100 possessions.
TS%
True shooting percentage. Includes the efficiency value of free throws and threes.
eFG%
Effective field goal percentage. Rewards three-point makes more than two-point makes.
TOV%
Turnover percentage. Lower is better on offense; higher is better when forced on defense.
Pythagorean Record
Expected record from scoring margin rather than actual close-game results.
Playoff Odds
Model-estimated chance of finishing in the top eight and reaching the playoffs.
Mean Seed
Average projected playoff seed from the simulation output when a projection file exists.
Identity Signals
Real-data summaries built from shot zones, schedule context, H2H results, and roster concentration.
Shot Chart vs Lg Avg
Shows whether the team shoots better or worse than league average from each zone.