Connecticut Sun
2026-27League rank #1511-33 so far with a -11.5 net rating. The profile below tracks how Connecticut Sun wins games, where the shot diet bends, and which parts of the roster are carrying the heaviest load.
Record
11-33
Win Rate
.250
Net
-11.5
Pace
80.6
Last 10
2-8
Playoff Odds
0%
Projected Wins
Season-complete snapshot from the projected wins model.
Proj Wins
11.0
P10-P90
11.0–11.0
Playoff Odds
0%
Mean Seed
14.0
Net Rating Trend
Month-to-month swings show whether the team is stabilizing, slipping, or peaking late.
Pythagorean Record
ORtg¹⁴ ÷ (ORtg¹⁴ + DRtg¹⁴)Actual
11-33
Expected
8-36
Scoring Style
Shot location and free-throw pressure compared with a league-average offense.
Team DNA
A quick shape of where this team leans relative to the rest of the league.
Four Factors
The possession battle: shooting, turnovers, rebounding, and free throws.
Offense
Defense
Roster Construction
How production is distributed across the rotation in minutes, scoring, rebounds, and assists.
Minutes Distribution
Production Breakdown
Clutch Performance
Close-game results only, meant to show how this team finishes when the margin stays tight.
| Situation | GP | W-L | W% | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Close (≤5 pts) | 10 | 5-5 | .500 | +2.9 |
| Mid (6-12 pts) | 17 | 3-14 | .176 | +8.4 |
| Blowout (13+ pts) | 17 | 3-14 | .176 | +24.7 |
| Overall | 44 | 11-33 | .250 | +13.4 |
Identity Signals
shot mix, rotation usage, matchup patterns, and game-level contextShot Identity
Paint-first offense
Weighted zone accuracy edge: -3.5 percentage points versus league averages.
3PT share
29.4%
Paint share
54.1%
Mid-range
16.6%
Context Splits
Meaningful home edge
Net rating trend from first to latest month: -1.5.
Home NET
-5.8
Away NET
-17.0
Close-game edge
+25.0%
Matchup Map
Recurring opponents only
Best recurring matchup: Phoenix Mercury (2-1). Toughest: Atlanta Dream (0-3).
Best
PHX +2.3
Worst
ATL -31.7
Opponents
14
Rotation Shape
Distributed rotation
Concentration numbers are computed directly from season-to-date player rates on the current roster view.
Top 3 minutes
28.6%
Top 2 scoring
24.2%
Top 2 assists
27.6%
Projected Wins Distribution
Model range for the final record when projection data exists for this season.
Median Wins
11
10th-90th
11–11
Playoff %
0%
Mean Seed
14.0
Season complete. Projection collapses to the final record and playoff result.
Reference
Team Page Stat Guide
These are the terms that show up most often on the team overview, split tables, projection cards, and shot chart.
ORtg / DRtg / NET
Estimated points scored, allowed, and the difference per 100 possessions.
TS%
True shooting percentage. Includes the efficiency value of free throws and threes.
eFG%
Effective field goal percentage. Rewards three-point makes more than two-point makes.
TOV%
Turnover percentage. Lower is better on offense; higher is better when forced on defense.
Pythagorean Record
Expected record from scoring margin rather than actual close-game results.
Playoff Odds
Model-estimated chance of finishing in the top eight and reaching the playoffs.
Showing the six most common terms. Open the full guide when you need the deeper model vocabulary.