Connecticut Sun
2026-27League rank #151-7 so far with a -15.0 net rating. The profile below tracks how Connecticut Sun wins games, where the shot diet bends, and which parts of the roster are carrying the heaviest load.
Record
1-7
Win Rate
.125
Net
-15.0
Pace
81.4
Last 8
1-7
Playoff Odds
0%
Projected Wins
Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.
Proj Wins
7.7
P10-P90
5.1–10.1
Playoff Odds
0%
Mean Seed
14.9
Net Rating Trend
Month-to-month swings show whether the team is stabilizing, slipping, or peaking late.
Pythagorean Record
ORtg¹⁴ ÷ (ORtg¹⁴ + DRtg¹⁴)Actual
1-7
Expected
1-7
Scoring Style
Shot location and free-throw pressure compared with a league-average offense.
Team DNA
A quick shape of where this team leans relative to the rest of the league.
Four Factors
The possession battle: shooting, turnovers, rebounding, and free throws.
Offense
Defense
Roster Construction
How production is distributed across the rotation in minutes, scoring, rebounds, and assists.
Minutes Distribution
Production Breakdown
Clutch Performance
Close-game results only, meant to show how this team finishes when the margin stays tight.
| Situation | GP | W-L | W% | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Close (≤5 pts) | 2 | 1-1 | .500 | +1.5 |
| Mid (6-12 pts) | 2 | 0-2 | .000 | +7.0 |
| Blowout (13+ pts) | 4 | 0-4 | .000 | +26.3 |
| Overall | 8 | 1-7 | .125 | +15.3 |
Identity Signals
shot mix, rotation usage, matchup patterns, and game-level contextShot Identity
Paint-first offense
Shot-zone detail is missing for this season, so shot-profile comparisons are hidden for now.
3PT share
28.2%
Paint share
54.4%
Mid-range
17.5%
Context Splits
Stable across venues
Need at least two monthly points to measure directional change.
Home NET
-17.9
Away NET
-17.6
Close-game edge
+37.5%
Matchup Map
Recurring opponents only
Best recurring matchup: Seattle Storm (1-2). Toughest: Las Vegas Aces (0-2).
Best
SEA -7.7
Worst
LVA -18.0
Opponents
5
Rotation Shape
Distributed rotation
Concentration numbers are computed directly from season-to-date player rates on the current roster view.
Top 3 minutes
38.8%
Top 2 scoring
38.1%
Top 2 assists
23.7%
Projected Wins Distribution
Model range for the final record when projection data exists for this season.
Median Wins
8.120000000000001
10th-90th
5.12–10.120000000000001
Playoff %
0%
Mean Seed
14.9
Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.
Team Page Stat Guide
These are the terms that show up most often on the team overview, split tables, projection cards, and shot chart.
ORtg / DRtg / NET
Estimated points scored, allowed, and the difference per 100 possessions.
TS%
True shooting percentage. Includes the efficiency value of free throws and threes.
eFG%
Effective field goal percentage. Rewards three-point makes more than two-point makes.
TOV%
Turnover percentage. Lower is better on offense; higher is better when forced on defense.
Pythagorean Record
Expected record from scoring margin rather than actual close-game results.
Playoff Odds
Model-estimated chance of finishing in the top eight and reaching the playoffs.
Mean Seed
Average projected playoff seed from the simulation output when a projection file exists.
Identity Signals
Real-data summaries built from shot zones, schedule context, H2H results, and roster concentration.
Shot Chart vs Lg Avg
Shows whether the team shoots better or worse than league average from each zone.