Team Profile

CON

Connecticut Sun

2026-27League rank #15

6-18 so far with a -8.3 net rating. The profile below tracks how Connecticut Sun wins games, where the shot diet bends, and which parts of the roster are carrying the heaviest load.

ORtg 99.2DRtg 107.5Pace 80.2Proj 12.6W

Record

6-18

Win Rate

.250

Net

-8.3

Pace

80.2

Last 10

4-6

Playoff Odds

Recent Form

4-6

Turnover HuntersRebuilding

Season

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Season

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MIN GSV IND DAL LVA ATL NYL CHI TOR WAS PHX LAS PDX SEA

Net Rating#15

-8.3

Off Rating#13

99.2

Def Rating#10

107.5

Pace#11

80.2

TS%#15

51.1

eFG%#15

47.1

TOV%#10

18.4

Connecticut Sun · 2026-27

Projected Wins

Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.

20 games left

Proj Wins

12.6

P10-P90

10.1–15.1

Playoff Odds

Mean Seed

14.2

Net Rating Trend

Month-to-month swings show whether the team is stabilizing, slipping, or peaking late.

Best -2.5Worst -15.3

Pythagorean Record

ORtg¹⁴ ÷ (ORtg¹⁴ + DRtg¹⁴)

Actual

6-18

Expected

6-18

0 vs expected · Performing in line with point differential

Scoring Style

Shot location and free-throw pressure compared with a league-average offense.

3PT Share

Lg 36.9%26.6%

Paint Share

Lg 51.7%56%

Mid-Range

Lg 11.5%17.4%

Free Throw Rate

Lg 31.8%33.7%

Pace

#11 · Above avg80.2

Team DNA

A quick shape of where this team leans relative to the rest of the league.

hover axis for detail · dashed = league avg

CONLeague Avg

Four Factors

The possession battle: shooting, turnovers, rebounding, and free throws.

vertical tick = league avg

Offense

eFG%

51.047.1

TOV%

17.618.4

ORB%

30.833.0

FTr

31.433.7

Defense

eFG%

51.052.7

TOV%

17.619.7

ORB%

30.832.1

FTr

31.438.3

Roster Construction

How production is distributed across the rotation in minutes, scoring, rebounds, and assists.

Minutes Distribution

Griner10%Lacan11%Morrow9%Edwards7%Nelson-Ododa8%Miller8%Burke9%Leger-Walker8%

Production Breakdown

Points105.5/gm

Rebounds43.5/gm

Assists25.4/gm

Clutch Performance

Close-game results only, meant to show how this team finishes when the margin stays tight.

Situation	GP	W-L	W%	Avg Margin
Close (≤5 pts)	9	4-5	.444	+2.9
Mid (6-12 pts)	8	1-7	.125	+8.4
Blowout (13+ pts)	7	1-6	.143	+23.6
Overall	24	6-18	.250	+10.8

Clutch differential: +19.4% vs overall W% · Strong closer — wins tight games at a high rate

Identity Signals

shot mix, rotation usage, matchup patterns, and game-level context

Shot Identity

Paint-first offense

Weighted zone accuracy edge: -3.0 percentage points versus league averages.

3PT share

26.6%

Paint share

56.0%

Mid-range

17.4%

Context Splits

Meaningful home edge

Net rating trend from first to latest month: +10.7.

Home NET

-4.6

Away NET

-13.4

Close-game edge

+19.4%

Matchup Map

Recurring opponents only

Best recurring matchup: Chicago Sky (1-1). Toughest: Golden State Valkyries (0-2).

Best

CHI +12.0

Worst

GSV -21.0

Opponents

Rotation Shape

Distributed rotation

Concentration numbers are computed directly from season-to-date player rates on the current roster view.

Top 3 minutes

29.3%

Top 2 scoring

25.0%

Top 2 assists

28.0%

Projected Wins Distribution

Model range for the final record when projection data exists for this season.

Simulation range

Median Wins

12.120000000000001

10th-90th

10.120000000000001–15.120000000000001

Playoff %

Mean Seed

14.2

Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.

Reference

Team Page Stat Guide

These are the terms that show up most often on the team overview, split tables, projection cards, and shot chart.

ORtg / DRtg / NET

Estimated points scored, allowed, and the difference per 100 possessions.

TS%

True shooting percentage. Includes the efficiency value of free throws and threes.

eFG%

Effective field goal percentage. Rewards three-point makes more than two-point makes.

TOV%

Turnover percentage. Lower is better on offense; higher is better when forced on defense.

Pythagorean Record

Expected record from scoring margin rather than actual close-game results.

Playoff Odds

Model-estimated chance of finishing in the top eight and reaching the playoffs.

Showing the six most common terms. Open the full guide when you need the deeper model vocabulary.