Team Profile

MIN

Minnesota Lynx

2026-27League rank #1

19-6 so far with a +10.4 net rating. The profile below tracks how Minnesota Lynx wins games, where the shot diet bends, and which parts of the roster are carrying the heaviest load.

ORtg 111.9DRtg 101.5Pace 81.3Proj 33.0W

Record

19-6

Win Rate

.760

Net

+10.4

Pace

81.3

Last 10

7-3

Playoff Odds

100%

Recent Form

7-3

Title ContenderElite DefenseElite OffenseShot DefendersEfficient Shooters

Season

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Season

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Net Rating#1

+10.4

Off Rating#1

111.9

Def Rating#2

101.5

Pace#6

81.3

TS%#4

58.0

eFG%#2

54.4

TOV%#5

17.0

Minnesota Lynx · 2026-27

Projected Wins

Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.

19 games left

Proj Wins

33.0

P10-P90

30.2–35.2

Playoff Odds

100%

Mean Seed

1.4

Net Rating Trend

Month-to-month swings show whether the team is stabilizing, slipping, or peaking late.

Best +15.7Worst +0.8

Pythagorean Record

ORtg¹⁴ ÷ (ORtg¹⁴ + DRtg¹⁴)

Actual

19-6

Expected

20-5

-1 vs expected · Performing in line with point differential

Scoring Style

Shot location and free-throw pressure compared with a league-average offense.

3PT Share

Lg 36.9%31.9%

Paint Share

Lg 51.7%50%

Mid-Range

Lg 11.5%18.1%

Free Throw Rate

Lg 31.8%26.8%

Pace

#6 · Above avg81.3

Team DNA

A quick shape of where this team leans relative to the rest of the league.

hover axis for detail · dashed = league avg

MINLeague Avg

Four Factors

The possession battle: shooting, turnovers, rebounding, and free throws.

vertical tick = league avg

Offense

eFG%

51.054.4

TOV%

17.617.0

ORB%

30.833.1

FTr

31.426.8

Defense

eFG%

51.048.3

TOV%

17.619.2

ORB%

30.832.3

FTr

31.431.4

Roster Construction

How production is distributed across the rotation in minutes, scoring, rebounds, and assists.

Minutes Distribution

Miles12%McBride13%Howard12%Williams12%Cechova7%Coffey10%Juhasz8%Caldwell5%

Production Breakdown

Points110.4/gm

Rebounds48.8/gm

Assists24.9/gm

Clutch Performance

Close-game results only, meant to show how this team finishes when the margin stays tight.

Situation	GP	W-L	W%	Avg Margin
Close (≤5 pts)	10	6-4	.600	+3.2
Mid (6-12 pts)	6	5-1	.833	+7.7
Blowout (13+ pts)	9	8-1	.889	+22.7
Overall	25	19-6	.760	+11.3

Clutch differential: -16.0% vs overall W% · Struggles to close — underperforms in tight games

Identity Signals

shot mix, rotation usage, matchup patterns, and game-level context

Shot Identity

Paint-first offense

Weighted zone accuracy edge: +2.7 percentage points versus league averages.

3PT share

31.9%

Paint share

50.0%

Mid-range

18.1%

Context Splits

Meaningful home edge

Net rating trend from first to latest month: -9.7.

Home NET

+11.7

Away NET

+9.0

Close-game edge

-16.0%

Matchup Map

Recurring opponents only

Best recurring matchup: Phoenix Mercury (3-0). Toughest: New York Liberty (1-1).

Best

PHX +14.0

Worst

NYL -4.0

Opponents

Rotation Shape

Distributed rotation

Concentration numbers are computed directly from season-to-date player rates on the current roster view.

Top 3 minutes

36.2%

Top 2 scoring

33.2%

Top 2 assists

32.5%

Projected Wins Distribution

Model range for the final record when projection data exists for this season.

Simulation range

Median Wins

33.24

10th-90th

30.240000000000002–35.24

Playoff %

100%

Mean Seed

1.4

Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.

Reference

Team Page Stat Guide

These are the terms that show up most often on the team overview, split tables, projection cards, and shot chart.

ORtg / DRtg / NET

Estimated points scored, allowed, and the difference per 100 possessions.

TS%

True shooting percentage. Includes the efficiency value of free throws and threes.

eFG%

Effective field goal percentage. Rewards three-point makes more than two-point makes.

TOV%

Turnover percentage. Lower is better on offense; higher is better when forced on defense.

Pythagorean Record

Expected record from scoring margin rather than actual close-game results.

Playoff Odds

Model-estimated chance of finishing in the top eight and reaching the playoffs.

Showing the six most common terms. Open the full guide when you need the deeper model vocabulary.