Team Profile

PHX

Phoenix Mercury

2026-27League rank #11

8-17 so far with a -4.9 net rating. The profile below tracks how Phoenix Mercury wins games, where the shot diet bends, and which parts of the roster are carrying the heaviest load.

ORtg 104.5DRtg 109.4Pace 79.6Proj 18.5W

Record

8-17

Win Rate

.320

Net

-4.9

Pace

79.6

Last 10

4-6

Playoff Odds

Recent Form

4-6

RebuildingPhysical/Aggressive

Season

Switch the page context without losing the team view.

Season

Jump To Team

Quick-switch to any other franchise in the same season view.

All teams

MIN GSV IND DAL LVA ATL NYL CHI WAS TOR LAS PDX SEA CON

Net Rating#11

-4.9

Off Rating#12

104.5

Def Rating#12

109.4

Pace#12

79.6

TS%#9

55.3

eFG%#9

50.0

TOV%#8

17.6

Phoenix Mercury · 2026-27

Projected Wins

Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.

19 games left

Proj Wins

18.5

P10-P90

16.1–21.1

Playoff Odds

Mean Seed

10.5

Net Rating Trend

Month-to-month swings show whether the team is stabilizing, slipping, or peaking late.

Best -1.6Worst -10.4

Pythagorean Record

ORtg¹⁴ ÷ (ORtg¹⁴ + DRtg¹⁴)

Actual

8-17

Expected

9-16

-1 vs expected · Performing in line with point differential

Scoring Style

Shot location and free-throw pressure compared with a league-average offense.

3PT Share

Lg 36.9%37.9%

Paint Share

Lg 51.7%48.7%

Mid-Range

Lg 11.5%13.3%

Free Throw Rate

Lg 31.8%34.6%

Pace

#12 · Average79.6

Team DNA

A quick shape of where this team leans relative to the rest of the league.

hover axis for detail · dashed = league avg

PHXLeague Avg

Four Factors

The possession battle: shooting, turnovers, rebounding, and free throws.

vertical tick = league avg

Offense

eFG%

51.050.0

TOV%

17.617.6

ORB%

30.828.1

FTr

31.434.6

Defense

eFG%

51.054.2

TOV%

17.617.4

ORB%

30.828.8

FTr

31.427.1

Roster Construction

How production is distributed across the rotation in minutes, scoring, rebounds, and assists.

Minutes Distribution

Copper12%Thomas12%Makani9%Nogic7%Mack9%Bonner10%Ayayi6%Brochant8%

Production Breakdown

Points104.7/gm

Rebounds41.7/gm

Assists27.2/gm

Clutch Performance

Close-game results only, meant to show how this team finishes when the margin stays tight.

Situation	GP	W-L	W%	Avg Margin
Close (≤5 pts)	6	2-4	.333	+3.2
Mid (6-12 pts)	12	3-9	.250	+8.5
Blowout (13+ pts)	7	3-4	.429	+27.0
Overall	25	8-17	.320	+12.4

Clutch differential: +1.3% vs overall W% · Performs similarly in close games and overall

Identity Signals

shot mix, rotation usage, matchup patterns, and game-level context

Shot Identity

Paint-first offense

Weighted zone accuracy edge: 0.0 percentage points versus league averages.

3PT share

37.9%

Paint share

48.7%

Mid-range

13.3%

Context Splits

Stable across venues

Net rating trend from first to latest month: -8.8.

Home NET

-4.3

Away NET

-5.3

Close-game edge

+1.3%

Matchup Map

Recurring opponents only

Best recurring matchup: Seattle Storm (3-0). Toughest: Minnesota Lynx (0-3).

Best

SEA +15.7

Worst

MIN -14.0

Opponents

Rotation Shape

Distributed rotation

Concentration numbers are computed directly from season-to-date player rates on the current roster view.

Top 3 minutes

33.0%

Top 2 scoring

33.3%

Top 2 assists

35.7%

Projected Wins Distribution

Model range for the final record when projection data exists for this season.

Simulation range

Median Wins

18.12

10th-90th

16.12–21.12

Playoff %

Mean Seed

10.5

Projected finish range based on the remaining schedule and team strength.

Reference

Team Page Stat Guide

These are the terms that show up most often on the team overview, split tables, projection cards, and shot chart.

ORtg / DRtg / NET

Estimated points scored, allowed, and the difference per 100 possessions.

TS%

True shooting percentage. Includes the efficiency value of free throws and threes.

eFG%

Effective field goal percentage. Rewards three-point makes more than two-point makes.

TOV%

Turnover percentage. Lower is better on offense; higher is better when forced on defense.

Pythagorean Record

Expected record from scoring margin rather than actual close-game results.

Playoff Odds

Model-estimated chance of finishing in the top eight and reaching the playoffs.

Showing the six most common terms. Open the full guide when you need the deeper model vocabulary.